TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Battle | Hickman |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 12.2 | 27.4 |
| PA / GAME | 37.2 | 22.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -35.0 | +6.0 |
| SOS | +8.1 | +2.7 |
| POWER | -32.2 | +6.9 |
HICKMAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Hickman finished the job, as Battle and Hickman finished 6-42. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 13-36 final.
The actual margin was 36 points versus MOFO's 23.2-point projection. That produced a 12.8-point margin error, with score errors of 7.3 for Battle and 5.5 for Hickman.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HICKMAN
MOFO leans toward Hickman because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 39.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 23.2-point margin, with Hickman carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Hickman enters at 27.4 points per game compared with 12.2 for Battle. Hickman also allows 14.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.7 for Hickman and +8.1 for Battle. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Hickman owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Battle has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 39.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.