TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Boonville | Hallsville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 44.2 | 31.8 |
| PA / GAME | 19.4 | 29.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +34.0 | +4.0 |
| SOS | -15.7 | +10.1 |
| POWER | +28.5 | +7.5 |
HALLSVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Hallsville finished the job, as Boonville and Hallsville finished 14-29. MOFO's pick of Boonville missed; the model had projected a 39-24 final.
The actual margin was 15 points versus MOFO's 14.9-point projection. That produced a 29.9-point margin error, with score errors of 24.6 for Boonville and 5.3 for Hallsville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BOONVILLE
MOFO leans toward Boonville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 21.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.9-point margin, with Boonville carrying a 88% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Boonville enters at 44.2 points per game compared with 31.8 for Hallsville. Boonville also allows 10.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -15.7 for Boonville and +10.1 for Hallsville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Boonville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Hallsville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 21.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.