TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Veritas Christian Academy | Grandview (Hillsboro) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| PF / GAME | 32.4 | 13.4 |
| PA / GAME | 21.9 | 31.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +17.3 | -28.7 |
| SOS | -22.6 | +13.7 |
| POWER | +9.4 | -23.9 |
VERITAS CHRISTIAN ACADEMY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Veritas Christian Academy finished the job, as Veritas Christian Academy and Grandview (Hillsboro) finished 40-22. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 35-15 final.
The actual margin was 18 points versus MOFO's 20.1-point projection. That produced a 2.1-point margin error, with score errors of 5.3 for Veritas Christian Academy and 7.4 for Grandview (Hillsboro).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD VERITAS CHRISTIAN ACADEMY
MOFO leans toward Veritas Christian Academy because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 33.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 20.1-point margin, with Veritas Christian Academy carrying a 94% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Veritas Christian Academy enters at 32.4 points per game compared with 13.4 for Grandview (Hillsboro). Veritas Christian Academy also allows 9.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -22.6 for Veritas Christian Academy and +13.7 for Grandview (Hillsboro). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Veritas Christian Academy owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Grandview (Hillsboro) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 33.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.