TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Milan | Gallatin with Tri-County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 16.7 | 19.2 |
| PA / GAME | 36.2 | 23.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | -28.9 | -7.0 |
| SOS | +4.9 | -2.0 |
| POWER | -27.2 | -7.7 |
GALLATIN WITH TRI-COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Gallatin with Tri-County finished the job, as Milan and Gallatin with Tri-County finished 8-44. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 18-30 final.
The actual margin was 36 points versus MOFO's 11.7-point projection. That produced a 24.3-point margin error, with score errors of 10.0 for Milan and 14.3 for Gallatin with Tri-County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GALLATIN WITH TRI-COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Gallatin with Tri-County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 19.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.7-point margin, with Gallatin with Tri-County carrying a 83% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Gallatin with Tri-County enters at 19.2 points per game compared with 16.7 for Milan. Gallatin with Tri-County also allows 12.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -2.0 for Gallatin with Tri-County and +4.9 for Milan. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Gallatin with Tri-County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Milan has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 19.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.