TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Northeast (Kansas City) | FL Schlagle (Kan.) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 17.2 | 26.1 |
| PA / GAME | 38.8 | 23.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -23.7 | +7.7 |
| SOS | +7.4 | -27.6 |
| POWER | -21.1 | -2.0 |
FL SCHLAGLE (KAN.) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
FL Schlagle (Kan.) finished the job, as Northeast (Kansas City) and FL Schlagle (Kan.) finished 9-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 19-34 final.
The actual margin was 5 points versus MOFO's 15.0-point projection. That produced a 10.0-point margin error, with score errors of 9.9 for Northeast (Kansas City) and 19.9 for FL Schlagle (Kan.).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD FL SCHLAGLE (KAN.)
MOFO leans toward FL Schlagle (Kan.) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 19.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.0-point margin, with FL Schlagle (Kan.) carrying a 88% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: FL Schlagle (Kan.) enters at 26.1 points per game compared with 17.2 for Northeast (Kansas City). FL Schlagle (Kan.) also allows 15.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -27.6 for FL Schlagle (Kan.) and +7.4 for Northeast (Kansas City). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01FL Schlagle (Kan.) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Northeast (Kansas City) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 19.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.