TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Monroe City | Clark County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 23.0 | 24.6 |
| PA / GAME | 20.2 | 34.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.3 | -11.7 |
| SOS | +2.4 | +1.1 |
| POWER | +1.2 | -11.3 |
MONROE CITY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Monroe City finished the job, as Monroe City and Clark County finished 40-18. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-21 final.
The actual margin was 22 points versus MOFO's 9.3-point projection. That produced a 12.7-point margin error, with score errors of 9.7 for Monroe City and 3.0 for Clark County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MONROE CITY
MOFO leans toward Monroe City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 12.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.3-point margin, with Monroe City carrying a 78% win probability.
Clark County actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Monroe City also allows 14.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.4 for Monroe City and +1.1 for Clark County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Clark County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Monroe City has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 12.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.