TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Cameron | Chillicothe |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 25.8 | 20.8 |
| PA / GAME | 33.6 | 24.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -9.3 | -6.7 |
| SOS | -0.0 | +9.8 |
| POWER | -9.3 | -3.2 |
CHILLICOTHE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Chillicothe finished the job, as Cameron and Chillicothe finished 20-34. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 24-28 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 3.6-point projection. That produced a 10.4-point margin error, with score errors of 4.4 for Cameron and 6.0 for Chillicothe.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CHILLICOTHE
MOFO leans toward Chillicothe because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 6.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.6-point margin, with Chillicothe carrying a 62% win probability.
Cameron actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Chillicothe also allows 8.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +9.8 for Chillicothe and -0.0 for Cameron. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Cameron owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Chillicothe has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 6.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.