TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Sikeston | Central (Cape Girardeau) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 22.8 | 18.2 |
| PA / GAME | 23.4 | 24.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -1.0 | -8.0 |
| SOS | +2.7 | +14.8 |
| POWER | -0.1 | -2.8 |
SIKESTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Sikeston finished the job, as Sikeston and Central (Cape Girardeau) finished 27-16. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 23-21 final.
The actual margin was 11 points versus MOFO's 2.8-point projection. That produced a 8.2-point margin error, with score errors of 3.5 for Sikeston and 4.7 for Central (Cape Girardeau).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SIKESTON
MOFO leans toward Sikeston because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.8-point margin, with Sikeston carrying a 59% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Sikeston enters at 22.8 points per game compared with 18.2 for Central (Cape Girardeau). Sikeston also allows 0.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.7 for Sikeston and +14.8 for Central (Cape Girardeau). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Sikeston owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Central (Cape Girardeau) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.