TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | KIPP KC Legacy | Carrollton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.6 | 35.4 |
| PA / GAME | 29.6 | 12.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.3 | +34.0 |
| SOS | -16.4 | -16.9 |
| POWER | -5.4 | +28.1 |
CARROLLTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Carrollton finished the job, as KIPP KC Legacy and Carrollton finished 6-44. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 16-36 final.
The actual margin was 38 points versus MOFO's 20.3-point projection. That produced a 17.7-point margin error, with score errors of 9.9 for KIPP KC Legacy and 7.9 for Carrollton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CARROLLTON
MOFO leans toward Carrollton because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 33.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 20.3-point margin, with Carrollton carrying a 94% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Carrollton enters at 35.4 points per game compared with 26.6 for KIPP KC Legacy. Carrollton also allows 17.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -16.9 for Carrollton and -16.4 for KIPP KC Legacy. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Carrollton owns the stronger scoring profile.
02KIPP KC Legacy has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 33.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.