TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Millard South (NE) | Cardinal Ritter |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 26.3 | 31.0 |
| PA / GAME | 23.0 | 30.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +10.0 | +1.7 |
| SOS | +14.0 | -0.0 |
| POWER | +14.9 | +1.7 |
MILLARD SOUTH (NE) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Millard South (NE) finished the job, as Millard South (NE) and Cardinal Ritter finished 55-40. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-25 final.
The actual margin was 15 points versus MOFO's 4.6-point projection. That produced a 10.4-point margin error, with score errors of 25.2 for Millard South (NE) and 14.7 for Cardinal Ritter.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MILLARD SOUTH (NE)
MOFO leans toward Millard South (NE) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 13.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.6-point margin, with Millard South (NE) carrying a 65% win probability.
Cardinal Ritter actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Millard South (NE) also allows 7.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +14.0 for Millard South (NE) and -0.0 for Cardinal Ritter. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Cardinal Ritter owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Millard South (NE) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 13.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.