HELIAS CATHOLIC WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Helias Catholic finished the job, as Helias Catholic and Camdenton finished 24-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 33-32 final.

The actual margin was 17 points versus MOFO's 1.1-point projection. That produced a 15.9-point margin error, with score errors of 8.8 for Helias Catholic and 24.7 for Camdenton.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HELIAS CATHOLIC

MOFO leans toward Helias Catholic because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.1-point margin, with Helias Catholic carrying a 54% win probability.

Camdenton actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Helias Catholic also allows 10.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at -11.6 for Helias Catholic and -8.0 for Camdenton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.