TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Trenton | Brookfield |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 20.8 | 33.0 |
| PA / GAME | 32.2 | 21.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -19.0 | +18.7 |
| SOS | -5.6 | -10.1 |
| POWER | -21.0 | +15.1 |
BROOKFIELD WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Brookfield finished the job, as Trenton and Brookfield finished 0-42. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 17-36 final.
The actual margin was 42 points versus MOFO's 19.1-point projection. That produced a 22.9-point margin error, with score errors of 17.4 for Trenton and 5.5 for Brookfield.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BROOKFIELD
MOFO leans toward Brookfield because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 36.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 19.1-point margin, with Brookfield carrying a 93% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Brookfield enters at 33.0 points per game compared with 20.8 for Trenton. Brookfield also allows 10.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -10.1 for Brookfield and -5.6 for Trenton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Brookfield owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Trenton has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 36.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.