TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Liberty North | Blue Springs |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 30.8 | 32.6 |
| PA / GAME | 26.2 | 23.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +7.7 | +14.7 |
| SOS | -4.2 | +7.3 |
| POWER | +6.2 | +17.2 |
BLUE SPRINGS WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Blue Springs finished the job, as Liberty North and Blue Springs finished 24-31. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 26-31 final.
The actual margin was 7 points versus MOFO's 4.9-point projection. That produced a 2.1-point margin error, with score errors of 1.9 for Liberty North and 0.2 for Blue Springs.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BLUE SPRINGS
MOFO leans toward Blue Springs because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 11.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.9-point margin, with Blue Springs carrying a 66% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Blue Springs enters at 32.6 points per game compared with 30.8 for Liberty North. Blue Springs also allows 2.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +7.3 for Blue Springs and -4.2 for Liberty North. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Blue Springs owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Blue Springs has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 11.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.