TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Perryville | Bayless with Hancock |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 20.6 | 25.2 |
| PA / GAME | 30.2 | 17.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -13.7 | +12.3 |
| SOS | +10.3 | -12.7 |
| POWER | -10.1 | +7.9 |
PERRYVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Perryville finished the job, as Perryville and Bayless with Hancock finished 35-14. MOFO's pick of Bayless with Hancock missed; the model had projected a 18-29 final.
The actual margin was 21 points versus MOFO's 11.6-point projection. That produced a 32.6-point margin error, with score errors of 17.4 for Perryville and 15.2 for Bayless with Hancock.
BAYLESS WITH HANCOCK VS. PERRYVILLE: A BATTLE OF CLASS 4 POWERHOUSES
Bayless with Hancock, the favored team, holds a 7.9 power gap and a 18.0 sample-size advantage, giving them a solid edge in this Class 4 matchup. The favorite's strong record and consistent performance in the current season bolster their case. Perryville, the underdog, has a 10.3 SOS and a 30.2 PA, showing potential for a dramatic upset. The home field is not favored, but the underdog's offensive firepower and defensive resilience could tip the scales. A narrow margin of 11.6 is projected, making this a thrilling contest.
The favorite's power and sample-size edge suggest a likely victory, but Perryville's underdog status and offensive potential make the game unpredictable. The venue treatment favors the underdog, adding to the intrigue. With a 82% win probability, this game is poised for a close, high-stakes showdown in Class 4.
01Bayless with Hancock owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Perryville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.