TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Liberty (Mountain View) | Ava |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 29.4 | 15.8 |
| PA / GAME | 20.4 | 30.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +15.0 | -18.3 |
| SOS | -2.1 | +5.9 |
| POWER | +14.2 | -16.3 |
AVA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Ava finished the job, as Liberty (Mountain View) and Ava finished 14-17. MOFO's pick of Liberty (Mountain View) missed; the model had projected a 33-15 final.
The actual margin was 3 points versus MOFO's 18.4-point projection. That produced a 21.4-point margin error, with score errors of 19.3 for Liberty (Mountain View) and 2.1 for Ava.
AVA'S UNDERDOG PATH AMID POWER GAP
Liberty (Mountain View) is the favorite, boasting a 14.2 power gap and a projected score of 33-15, reflecting a strong Class 2 record. Ava, the underdog, holds a 5.9 SOS and a projected score of 30.8-15.8, despite a 16.3 power gap. The venue treatment is neutral, but Ava's 1-2 record and sample-size confidence offer a plausible path. The power gap and Ava's performance in the current season suggest a potential upset, though the favorite's strength remains a factor.
conclusion: Ava's underdog status is supported by a 5.9 SOS and projected score, despite a 16.3 power gap. The favorite's strength and neutral venue treatment make the outcome uncertain but possible.
01Liberty (Mountain View) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Ava has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 30.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.