TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Warsaw | Adrian |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 33.2 | 21.4 |
| PA / GAME | 29.2 | 26.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +5.7 | -7.7 |
| SOS | -8.6 | -6.9 |
| POWER | +2.7 | -10.1 |
WARSAW WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Warsaw finished the job, as Warsaw and Adrian finished 28-12. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 31-24 final.
The actual margin was 16 points versus MOFO's 7.0-point projection. That produced a 9.0-point margin error, with score errors of 2.9 for Warsaw and 11.9 for Adrian.
ADRIAN'S UNDERDOG PATH AMID CLASS 1 CHALLENGE
Adrian faces a tough Class 1 showdown at Warsaw, where the favorite, Warsaw, holds a 2.7-power edge and a 31-24 projected scoreline. The underdog Adrian, with a -10.1 power gap, has a 72% win chance, fueled by a 21.4-point point differential. The venue treatment favors Warsaw, but Adrian's 1-2 record and 26-26 current-season results give them a plausible path to victory. The game will test Adrian's resilience and Warsaw's offensive prowess.
conclusion
01Warsaw owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Adrian has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 12.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.