TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Princeton | Worth County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 31.3 | 37.7 |
| PA / GAME | 35.7 | 21.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -0.8 | +16.5 |
| SOS | +5.9 | -1.5 |
| POWER | +1.2 | +16.0 |
WORTH COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Worth County finished the job, as Princeton and Worth County finished 20-30. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 25-38 final.
The actual margin was 10 points versus MOFO's 13.3-point projection. That produced a 3.3-point margin error, with score errors of 4.9 for Princeton and 8.2 for Worth County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WORTH COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Worth County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 14.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 13.3-point margin, with Worth County carrying a 85% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Worth County enters at 37.7 points per game compared with 31.3 for Princeton. Worth County also allows 14.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.5 for Worth County and +5.9 for Princeton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Worth County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Princeton has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 14.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.