TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Raytown | Winnetonka |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 38.1 | 27.5 |
| PA / GAME | 17.7 | 32.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +24.9 | -8.3 |
| SOS | -20.2 | -6.1 |
| POWER | +17.9 | -10.4 |
RAYTOWN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Raytown finished the job, as Raytown and Winnetonka finished 27-19. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 38-20 final.
The actual margin was 8 points versus MOFO's 18.7-point projection. That produced a 10.7-point margin error, with score errors of 11.4 for Raytown and 0.7 for Winnetonka.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD RAYTOWN
MOFO leans toward Raytown because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 28.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 18.7-point margin, with Raytown carrying a 92% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Raytown enters at 38.1 points per game compared with 27.5 for Winnetonka. Raytown also allows 15.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -20.2 for Raytown and -6.1 for Winnetonka. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Raytown owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Winnetonka has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 28.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.