TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | North Platte | West Platte |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| PF / GAME | 29.8 | 34.4 |
| PA / GAME | 26.2 | 21.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | +5.6 | +23.8 |
| SOS | -9.2 | -14.3 |
| POWER | +2.4 | +18.8 |
WEST PLATTE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
West Platte finished the job, as North Platte and West Platte finished 6-24. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 24-32 final.
The actual margin was 18 points versus MOFO's 8.1-point projection. That produced a 9.9-point margin error, with score errors of 17.9 for North Platte and 8.0 for West Platte.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WEST PLATTE
MOFO leans toward West Platte because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.1-point margin, with West Platte carrying a 75% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: West Platte enters at 34.4 points per game compared with 29.8 for North Platte. West Platte also allows 4.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -14.3 for West Platte and -9.2 for North Platte. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01West Platte owns the stronger scoring profile.
02North Platte has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 16.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.