TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Louisiana | Van-Far |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 31.1 | 21.4 |
| PA / GAME | 24.0 | 31.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +16.6 | -19.6 |
| SOS | -4.3 | +8.1 |
| POWER | +15.1 | -16.8 |
LOUISIANA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Louisiana finished the job, as Louisiana and Van-Far finished 43-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 35-19 final.
The actual margin was 37 points versus MOFO's 15.4-point projection. That produced a 21.6-point margin error, with score errors of 8.2 for Louisiana and 13.4 for Van-Far.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LOUISIANA
MOFO leans toward Louisiana because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 31.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.4-point margin, with Louisiana carrying a 89% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Louisiana enters at 31.1 points per game compared with 21.4 for Van-Far. Louisiana also allows 7.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.3 for Louisiana and +8.1 for Van-Far. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Louisiana owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Van-Far has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 31.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.