TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hogan Prep Academy Charter | St. Mary's (KS) Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 28.5 | 25.4 |
| PA / GAME | 24.0 | 26.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +16.0 | -11.3 |
| SOS | -16.6 | +7.6 |
| POWER | +10.2 | -8.7 |
ST. MARY'S (KS) ACADEMY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
St. Mary's (KS) Academy finished the job, as Hogan Prep Academy Charter and St. Mary's (KS) Academy finished 0-9. MOFO's pick of Hogan Prep Academy Charter missed; the model had projected a 29-23 final.
The actual margin was 9 points versus MOFO's 5.8-point projection. That produced a 14.8-point margin error, with score errors of 28.9 for Hogan Prep Academy Charter and 14.0 for St. Mary's (KS) Academy.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HOGAN PREP ACADEMY CHARTER
MOFO leans toward Hogan Prep Academy Charter because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.8-point margin, with Hogan Prep Academy Charter carrying a 69% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Hogan Prep Academy Charter enters at 28.5 points per game compared with 25.4 for St. Mary's (KS) Academy. Hogan Prep Academy Charter also allows 2.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -16.6 for Hogan Prep Academy Charter and +7.6 for St. Mary's (KS) Academy. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Hogan Prep Academy Charter owns the stronger scoring profile.
02St. Mary's (KS) Academy has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.