BLAIR OAKS WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Blair Oaks finished the job, as Blair Oaks and Southern Boone finished 48-21. MOFO's pick of Southern Boone missed; the model had projected a 26-26 final.

The actual margin was 27 points versus MOFO's 0.1-point projection. That produced a 27.1-point margin error, with score errors of 22.4 for Blair Oaks and 4.7 for Southern Boone.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SOUTHERN BOONE

MOFO leans toward Southern Boone because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.1-point margin, with Southern Boone carrying a 50% win probability.

Blair Oaks actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Southern Boone also allows 4.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at -10.9 for Southern Boone and +0.9 for Blair Oaks. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.