TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Milan | South Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 16.4 | 22.4 |
| PA / GAME | 37.8 | 29.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | -33.0 | -16.5 |
| SOS | +8.4 | +16.6 |
| POWER | -30.1 | -10.7 |
SOUTH HARRISON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
South Harrison finished the job, as Milan and South Harrison finished 14-36. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 21-32 final.
The actual margin was 22 points versus MOFO's 11.5-point projection. That produced a 10.5-point margin error, with score errors of 6.9 for Milan and 3.6 for South Harrison.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SOUTH HARRISON
MOFO leans toward South Harrison because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 19.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.5-point margin, with South Harrison carrying a 82% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: South Harrison enters at 22.4 points per game compared with 16.4 for Milan. South Harrison also allows 7.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +16.6 for South Harrison and +8.4 for Milan. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01South Harrison owns the stronger scoring profile.
02South Harrison has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 19.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.