TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Jackson | Sikeston |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| PF / GAME | 40.3 | 27.2 |
| PA / GAME | 17.3 | 22.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | +31.9 | +11.6 |
| SOS | -19.4 | -5.8 |
| POWER | +25.2 | +9.6 |
JACKSON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Jackson finished the job, as Jackson and Sikeston finished 41-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 33-21 final.
The actual margin was 34 points versus MOFO's 11.9-point projection. That produced a 22.1-point margin error, with score errors of 8.3 for Jackson and 13.8 for Sikeston.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD JACKSON
MOFO leans toward Jackson because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.9-point margin, with Jackson carrying a 83% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Jackson enters at 40.3 points per game compared with 27.2 for Sikeston. Jackson also allows 4.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -19.4 for Jackson and -5.8 for Sikeston. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Jackson owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Sikeston has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.