TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Rockhurst | Shawnee Mission West (KS) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 27.2 | 29.2 |
| PA / GAME | 24.6 | 24.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +2.8 | +13.7 |
| SOS | +5.0 | +0.8 |
| POWER | +4.5 | +13.9 |
ROCKHURST WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Rockhurst finished the job, as Rockhurst and Shawnee Mission West (KS) finished 34-0. MOFO's pick of Shawnee Mission West (KS) missed; the model had projected a 25-28 final.
The actual margin was 34 points versus MOFO's 2.9-point projection. That produced a 36.9-point margin error, with score errors of 9.0 for Rockhurst and 27.9 for Shawnee Mission West (KS).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SHAWNEE MISSION WEST (KS)
MOFO leans toward Shawnee Mission West (KS) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 9.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.9-point margin, with Shawnee Mission West (KS) carrying a 60% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Shawnee Mission West (KS) enters at 29.2 points per game compared with 27.2 for Rockhurst. Rockhurst's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.8 for Shawnee Mission West (KS) and +5.0 for Rockhurst. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Shawnee Mission West (KS) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Rockhurst has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 9.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.