TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Benton | Pleasant Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 22.0 | 19.1 |
| PA / GAME | 29.9 | 31.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | -11.8 | -23.2 |
| SOS | -3.3 | +17.5 |
| POWER | -13.0 | -17.1 |
PLEASANT HILL WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Pleasant Hill finished the job, as Benton and Pleasant Hill finished 21-47. MOFO's pick of Benton missed; the model had projected a 27-24 final.
The actual margin was 26 points versus MOFO's 2.6-point projection. That produced a 28.6-point margin error, with score errors of 6.0 for Benton and 22.6 for Pleasant Hill.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BENTON
MOFO leans toward Benton because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 4.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.6-point margin, with Benton carrying a 59% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Benton enters at 22.0 points per game compared with 19.1 for Pleasant Hill. Benton also allows 2.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.3 for Benton and +17.5 for Pleasant Hill. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Benton owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Pleasant Hill has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 4.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.