TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Eureka | Parkway North |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 32.4 | 29.5 |
| PA / GAME | 29.2 | 20.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +3.0 | +15.2 |
| SOS | +1.8 | -3.7 |
| POWER | +3.7 | +13.9 |
EUREKA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Eureka finished the job, as Eureka and Parkway North finished 40-14. MOFO's pick of Parkway North missed; the model had projected a 25-30 final.
The actual margin was 26 points versus MOFO's 5.0-point projection. That produced a 31.0-point margin error, with score errors of 14.7 for Eureka and 16.4 for Parkway North.
PARKWAY NORTH VS. EUREKA: A BATTLE OF POWER AND POTENTIAL
Parkway North, the favorite, carries a 13.9 power advantage and a 1-1 record, though confidence is low. The home field is neutral, and the projected score favors Parkway North by 5 points. Eureka, the underdog, has a 3.7 power gap and a 1-1 record, with a 66% win probability. The venue treatment is neutral, and the sample size is current-season results. The game is a test of strength and strategy, with Parkway North's experience and power likely to prevail.
analysis
01Eureka owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Eureka has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 10.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.