TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Park Hill South | Park Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 28.3 | 24.7 |
| PA / GAME | 26.7 | 27.3 |
| AVG MARGIN | +3.6 | -6.8 |
| SOS | +1.8 | +8.0 |
| POWER | +4.3 | -4.1 |
PARK HILL WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Park Hill finished the job, as Park Hill South and Park Hill finished 20-38. MOFO's pick of Park Hill South missed; the model had projected a 29-25 final.
The actual margin was 18 points versus MOFO's 3.7-point projection. That produced a 21.7-point margin error, with score errors of 8.6 for Park Hill South and 13.1 for Park Hill.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PARK HILL SOUTH
MOFO leans toward Park Hill South because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 8.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.7-point margin, with Park Hill South carrying a 62% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Park Hill South enters at 28.3 points per game compared with 24.7 for Park Hill. Park Hill South also allows 0.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.8 for Park Hill South and +8.0 for Park Hill. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Park Hill South owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Park Hill has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 8.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.