TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Clark County | Palmyra |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 25.1 | 32.7 |
| PA / GAME | 28.3 | 23.3 |
| AVG MARGIN | -2.3 | +14.7 |
| SOS | -7.1 | +3.2 |
| POWER | -4.8 | +15.8 |
PALMYRA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Palmyra finished the job, as Clark County and Palmyra finished 19-72. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 22-33 final.
The actual margin was 53 points versus MOFO's 11.2-point projection. That produced a 41.8-point margin error, with score errors of 2.8 for Clark County and 39.0 for Palmyra.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PALMYRA
MOFO leans toward Palmyra because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 20.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.2-point margin, with Palmyra carrying a 82% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Palmyra enters at 32.7 points per game compared with 25.1 for Clark County. Palmyra also allows 5.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.2 for Palmyra and -7.1 for Clark County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Palmyra owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Palmyra has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 20.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.