TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | JC Harmon (KS) | Northeast (Kansas City) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 24.5 | 16.4 |
| PA / GAME | 33.8 | 41.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -22.8 | -29.7 |
| SOS | -8.5 | +16.6 |
| POWER | -25.7 | -23.9 |
JC HARMON (KS) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
JC Harmon (KS) finished the job, as JC Harmon (KS) and Northeast (Kansas City) finished 24-23. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 32-26 final.
The actual margin was 1 points versus MOFO's 6.3-point projection. That produced a 5.3-point margin error, with score errors of 8.1 for JC Harmon (KS) and 2.7 for Northeast (Kansas City).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD JC HARMON (KS)
MOFO leans toward JC Harmon (KS) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 6.3-point margin, with JC Harmon (KS) carrying a 70% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: JC Harmon (KS) enters at 24.5 points per game compared with 16.4 for Northeast (Kansas City). JC Harmon (KS) also allows 7.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -8.5 for JC Harmon (KS) and +16.6 for Northeast (Kansas City). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01JC Harmon (KS) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Northeast (Kansas City) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.