TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Poplar Bluff | North Point |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 22.2 | 29.9 |
| PA / GAME | 33.8 | 35.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -19.7 | -13.0 |
| SOS | +8.8 | +5.3 |
| POWER | -16.6 | -11.1 |
POPLAR BLUFF WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Poplar Bluff finished the job, as Poplar Bluff and North Point finished 41-19. MOFO's pick of North Point missed; the model had projected a 28-32 final.
The actual margin was 22 points versus MOFO's 3.9-point projection. That produced a 25.9-point margin error, with score errors of 12.5 for Poplar Bluff and 13.4 for North Point.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTH POINT
MOFO leans toward North Point because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.9-point margin, with North Point carrying a 63% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: North Point enters at 29.9 points per game compared with 22.2 for Poplar Bluff. Poplar Bluff's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +5.3 for North Point and +8.8 for Poplar Bluff. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01North Point owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Poplar Bluff has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 5.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.