TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | DeSoto | North County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 27.6 | 18.7 |
| PA / GAME | 24.8 | 34.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +5.4 | -25.1 |
| SOS | +8.8 | +20.2 |
| POWER | +8.4 | -18.1 |
NORTH COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
North County finished the job, as DeSoto and North County finished 22-35. MOFO's pick of DeSoto missed; the model had projected a 34-19 final.
The actual margin was 13 points versus MOFO's 14.5-point projection. That produced a 27.5-point margin error, with score errors of 11.5 for DeSoto and 16.0 for North County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD DESOTO
MOFO leans toward DeSoto because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 26.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.5-point margin, with DeSoto carrying a 87% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: DeSoto enters at 27.6 points per game compared with 18.7 for North County. DeSoto also allows 9.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +8.8 for DeSoto and +20.2 for North County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01DeSoto owns the stronger scoring profile.
02North County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 26.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.