TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Pattonsburg | North Andrew |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| PF / GAME | 36.2 | 35.3 |
| PA / GAME | 49.5 | 32.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -23.5 | +8.8 |
| SOS | -2.9 | -9.4 |
| POWER | -24.6 | +5.5 |
NORTH ANDREW WRITES THE FINAL WORD
North Andrew finished the job, as Pattonsburg and North Andrew finished 0-60. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 31-46 final.
The actual margin was 60 points versus MOFO's 14.7-point projection. That produced a 45.3-point margin error, with score errors of 30.9 for Pattonsburg and 14.4 for North Andrew.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTH ANDREW
MOFO leans toward North Andrew because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 30.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.7-point margin, with North Andrew carrying a 88% win probability.
Pattonsburg actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. North Andrew also allows 17.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -9.4 for North Andrew and -2.9 for Pattonsburg. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Pattonsburg owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Pattonsburg has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 30.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.