TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | McCluer North | Normandy Collaborative |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 24.4 | 24.8 |
| PA / GAME | 19.1 | 23.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +14.4 | +6.2 |
| SOS | -16.1 | -4.2 |
| POWER | +8.8 | +4.7 |
MCCLUER NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
McCluer North finished the job, as McCluer North and Normandy Collaborative finished 24-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 24-22 final.
The actual margin was 18 points versus MOFO's 2.2-point projection. That produced a 15.8-point margin error, with score errors of 0.1 for McCluer North and 15.7 for Normandy Collaborative.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MCCLUER NORTH
MOFO leans toward McCluer North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 4.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.2-point margin, with McCluer North carrying a 57% win probability.
Normandy Collaborative actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. McCluer North also allows 3.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -16.1 for McCluer North and -4.2 for Normandy Collaborative. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Normandy Collaborative owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Normandy Collaborative has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 4.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.