TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Windsor | Linn |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 23.5 | 20.1 |
| PA / GAME | 20.0 | 35.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +2.5 | -26.7 |
| SOS | +0.7 | +4.1 |
| POWER | +2.8 | -25.3 |
WINDSOR WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Windsor finished the job, as Windsor and Linn finished 18-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 33-17 final.
The actual margin was 18 points versus MOFO's 15.7-point projection. That produced a 2.3-point margin error, with score errors of 14.7 for Windsor and 17.0 for Linn.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WINDSOR
MOFO leans toward Windsor because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 28.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.7-point margin, with Windsor carrying a 89% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Windsor enters at 23.5 points per game compared with 20.1 for Linn. Windsor also allows 15.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.7 for Windsor and +4.1 for Linn. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Windsor owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Linn has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 28.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.