TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Shawnee Mission West (KS) | Lincoln College Prep |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 29.2 | 19.1 |
| PA / GAME | 24.7 | 21.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +13.7 | -5.9 |
| SOS | +0.8 | +9.5 |
| POWER | +13.9 | -2.6 |
SHAWNEE MISSION WEST (KS) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Shawnee Mission West (KS) finished the job, as Shawnee Mission West (KS) and Lincoln College Prep finished 9-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 27-20 final.
The actual margin was 2 points versus MOFO's 7.0-point projection. That produced a 5.0-point margin error, with score errors of 18.2 for Shawnee Mission West (KS) and 13.2 for Lincoln College Prep.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SHAWNEE MISSION WEST (KS)
MOFO leans toward Shawnee Mission West (KS) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.0-point margin, with Shawnee Mission West (KS) carrying a 72% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Shawnee Mission West (KS) enters at 29.2 points per game compared with 19.1 for Lincoln College Prep. Lincoln College Prep's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.8 for Shawnee Mission West (KS) and +9.5 for Lincoln College Prep. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Shawnee Mission West (KS) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lincoln College Prep has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 16.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.