TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | North Kansas City | Liberty North |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| PF / GAME | 29.8 | 33.6 |
| PA / GAME | 27.9 | 25.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.1 | +15.6 |
| SOS | +1.5 | -11.2 |
| POWER | +0.6 | +11.7 |
NORTH KANSAS CITY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
North Kansas City finished the job, as North Kansas City and Liberty North finished 28-14. MOFO's pick of Liberty North missed; the model had projected a 27-32 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 5.1-point projection. That produced a 19.1-point margin error, with score errors of 1.3 for North Kansas City and 17.7 for Liberty North.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LIBERTY NORTH
MOFO leans toward Liberty North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 11.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.1-point margin, with Liberty North carrying a 66% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Liberty North enters at 33.6 points per game compared with 29.8 for North Kansas City. Liberty North also allows 2.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -11.2 for Liberty North and +1.5 for North Kansas City. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Liberty North owns the stronger scoring profile.
02North Kansas City has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 11.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.