TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Oak Park | Lee's Summit |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 28.0 | 23.6 |
| PA / GAME | 34.0 | 26.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -9.2 | -5.8 |
| SOS | -2.3 | +9.5 |
| POWER | -10.0 | -2.5 |
LEE'S SUMMIT WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Lee's Summit finished the job, as Oak Park and Lee's Summit finished 0-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 26-30 final.
The actual margin was 6 points versus MOFO's 3.8-point projection. That produced a 2.2-point margin error, with score errors of 26.0 for Oak Park and 23.8 for Lee's Summit.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LEE'S SUMMIT
MOFO leans toward Lee's Summit because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 7.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.8-point margin, with Lee's Summit carrying a 62% win probability.
Oak Park actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Lee's Summit also allows 7.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +9.5 for Lee's Summit and -2.3 for Oak Park. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Oak Park owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lee's Summit has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 7.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.