TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Cardinal Ritter | Knoxville Catholic (TN) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 33.5 | 27.5 |
| PA / GAME | 27.7 | 27.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | +7.5 | +0.0 |
| SOS | +0.3 | +0.0 |
| POWER | +7.6 | +0.0 |
KNOXVILLE CATHOLIC (TN) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Knoxville Catholic (TN) finished the job, as Cardinal Ritter and Knoxville Catholic (TN) finished 22-28. MOFO's pick of Cardinal Ritter missed; the model had projected a 31-27 final.
The actual margin was 6 points versus MOFO's 4.6-point projection. That produced a 10.6-point margin error, with score errors of 9.3 for Cardinal Ritter and 1.2 for Knoxville Catholic (TN).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CARDINAL RITTER
MOFO leans toward Cardinal Ritter because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 7.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.6-point margin, with Cardinal Ritter carrying a 65% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Cardinal Ritter enters at 33.5 points per game compared with 27.5 for Knoxville Catholic (TN). Knoxville Catholic (TN)'s defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.3 for Cardinal Ritter and +0.0 for Knoxville Catholic (TN). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Cardinal Ritter owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Cardinal Ritter has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 7.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.