TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Savannah | Kirksville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 34.5 | 19.7 |
| PA / GAME | 16.1 | 24.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +29.0 | -8.5 |
| SOS | -8.3 | +10.1 |
| POWER | +26.1 | -5.0 |
SAVANNAH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Savannah finished the job, as Savannah and Kirksville finished 35-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 33-15 final.
The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 17.7-point projection. That produced a 10.3-point margin error, with score errors of 2.5 for Savannah and 7.8 for Kirksville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SAVANNAH
MOFO leans toward Savannah because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 31.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 17.7-point margin, with Savannah carrying a 91% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Savannah enters at 34.5 points per game compared with 19.7 for Kirksville. Savannah also allows 8.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -8.3 for Savannah and +10.1 for Kirksville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Savannah owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Kirksville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 31.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.