TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Battle | Helias Catholic |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| PF / GAME | 14.5 | 33.6 |
| PA / GAME | 35.6 | 22.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -33.3 | +16.4 |
| SOS | -0.7 | +3.0 |
| POWER | -33.6 | +17.5 |
HELIAS CATHOLIC WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Helias Catholic finished the job, as Battle and Helias Catholic finished 0-52. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 13-40 final.
The actual margin was 52 points versus MOFO's 27.3-point projection. That produced a 24.7-point margin error, with score errors of 13.0 for Battle and 11.7 for Helias Catholic.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HELIAS CATHOLIC
MOFO leans toward Helias Catholic because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 51.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 27.3-point margin, with Helias Catholic carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Helias Catholic enters at 33.6 points per game compared with 14.5 for Battle. Helias Catholic also allows 12.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.0 for Helias Catholic and -0.7 for Battle. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Helias Catholic owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Helias Catholic has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 51.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.