TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Odessa | Harrisonville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 39.9 | 24.5 |
| PA / GAME | 19.0 | 28.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +30.0 | -10.0 |
| SOS | -6.0 | +5.1 |
| POWER | +27.9 | -8.2 |
HARRISONVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Harrisonville finished the job, as Odessa and Harrisonville finished 7-10. MOFO's pick of Odessa missed; the model had projected a 38-18 final.
The actual margin was 3 points versus MOFO's 20.2-point projection. That produced a 23.2-point margin error, with score errors of 31.2 for Odessa and 8.0 for Harrisonville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ODESSA
MOFO leans toward Odessa because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 36.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 20.2-point margin, with Odessa carrying a 94% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Odessa enters at 39.9 points per game compared with 24.5 for Harrisonville. Odessa also allows 9.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -6.0 for Odessa and +5.1 for Harrisonville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Odessa owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Harrisonville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 36.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.