TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Southeast | Grandview |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 14.0 | 24.6 |
| PA / GAME | 36.5 | 33.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -30.5 | -6.7 |
| SOS | +12.9 | -11.3 |
| POWER | -26.0 | -10.7 |
GRANDVIEW WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Grandview finished the job, as Southeast and Grandview finished 0-63. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 22-32 final.
The actual margin was 63 points versus MOFO's 9.5-point projection. That produced a 53.5-point margin error, with score errors of 22.3 for Southeast and 31.2 for Grandview.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GRANDVIEW
MOFO leans toward Grandview because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.5-point margin, with Grandview carrying a 78% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Grandview enters at 24.6 points per game compared with 14.0 for Southeast. Grandview also allows 3.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -11.3 for Grandview and +12.9 for Southeast. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Grandview owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Southeast has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.