ST. PIUS X (KANSAS CITY) WRITES THE FINAL WORD

St. Pius X (Kansas City) finished the job, as St. Pius X (Kansas City) and Francis Howell finished 42-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 29-25 final.

The actual margin was 42 points versus MOFO's 3.7-point projection. That produced a 38.3-point margin error, with score errors of 13.2 for St. Pius X (Kansas City) and 25.0 for Francis Howell.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ST. PIUS X (KANSAS CITY)

MOFO leans toward St. Pius X (Kansas City) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 6.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.7-point margin, with St. Pius X (Kansas City) carrying a 62% win probability.

Francis Howell actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. St. Pius X (Kansas City) also allows 6.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at -6.9 for St. Pius X (Kansas City) and -9.1 for Francis Howell. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.