TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Doniphan | East Prairie |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 28.0 | 14.1 |
| PA / GAME | 24.9 | 35.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +6.3 | -32.5 |
| SOS | -16.5 | +8.0 |
| POWER | +0.5 | -29.7 |
EAST PRAIRIE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
East Prairie finished the job, as Doniphan and East Prairie finished 7-8. MOFO's pick of Doniphan missed; the model had projected a 35-17 final.
The actual margin was 1 points versus MOFO's 18.1-point projection. That produced a 19.1-point margin error, with score errors of 27.7 for Doniphan and 8.6 for East Prairie.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD DONIPHAN
MOFO leans toward Doniphan because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 30.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 18.1-point margin, with Doniphan carrying a 92% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Doniphan enters at 28.0 points per game compared with 14.1 for East Prairie. Doniphan also allows 10.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -16.5 for Doniphan and +8.0 for East Prairie. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Doniphan owns the stronger scoring profile.
02East Prairie has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 30.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.