MID-BUCHANAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Mid-Buchanan finished the job, as Mid-Buchanan and East Buchanan finished 48-20. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 34-23 final.

The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 11.3-point projection. That produced a 16.7-point margin error, with score errors of 13.5 for Mid-Buchanan and 3.1 for East Buchanan.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MID-BUCHANAN

MOFO leans toward Mid-Buchanan because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.3-point margin, with Mid-Buchanan carrying a 82% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Mid-Buchanan enters at 40.7 points per game compared with 31.3 for East Buchanan. Mid-Buchanan also allows 5.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at -12.1 for Mid-Buchanan and -12.9 for East Buchanan. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.