TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Forsyth | Clever |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| PF / GAME | 25.7 | 25.2 |
| PA / GAME | 25.8 | 17.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -1.5 | +12.8 |
| SOS | -3.9 | +1.1 |
| POWER | -2.9 | +13.2 |
CLEVER WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Clever finished the job, as Forsyth and Clever finished 13-35. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 20-27 final.
The actual margin was 22 points versus MOFO's 7.6-point projection. That produced a 14.4-point margin error, with score errors of 6.7 for Forsyth and 7.6 for Clever.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CLEVER
MOFO leans toward Clever because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.6-point margin, with Clever carrying a 73% win probability.
Forsyth actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Clever also allows 8.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.1 for Clever and -3.9 for Forsyth. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Forsyth owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Clever has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 16.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.