TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Summit Christian Academy | Christ Preparatory (KS) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 32.4 | 21.4 |
| PA / GAME | 23.0 | 19.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +19.7 | -1.7 |
| SOS | -11.8 | -4.7 |
| POWER | +15.6 | -3.4 |
CHRIST PREPARATORY (KS) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Christ Preparatory (KS) finished the job, as Summit Christian Academy and Christ Preparatory (KS) finished 14-28. MOFO's pick of Summit Christian Academy missed; the model had projected a 28-20 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 7.6-point projection. That produced a 21.6-point margin error, with score errors of 13.9 for Summit Christian Academy and 7.8 for Christ Preparatory (KS).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SUMMIT CHRISTIAN ACADEMY
MOFO leans toward Summit Christian Academy because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.6-point margin, with Summit Christian Academy carrying a 73% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Summit Christian Academy enters at 32.4 points per game compared with 21.4 for Christ Preparatory (KS). Christ Preparatory (KS)'s defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at -11.8 for Summit Christian Academy and -4.7 for Christ Preparatory (KS). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Summit Christian Academy owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Christ Preparatory (KS) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.