TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Highland | Centralia |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| PF / GAME | 19.7 | 34.3 |
| PA / GAME | 37.2 | 20.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -24.5 | +24.1 |
| SOS | +0.5 | -4.2 |
| POWER | -24.3 | +22.7 |
CENTRALIA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Centralia finished the job, as Highland and Centralia finished 20-64. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 15-41 final.
The actual margin was 44 points versus MOFO's 25.8-point projection. That produced a 18.2-point margin error, with score errors of 5.0 for Highland and 23.2 for Centralia.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CENTRALIA
MOFO leans toward Centralia because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 47.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 25.8-point margin, with Centralia carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Centralia enters at 34.3 points per game compared with 19.7 for Highland. Centralia also allows 16.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.2 for Centralia and +0.5 for Highland. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Centralia owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Highland has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 47.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.