TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Excelsior Springs | Cameron |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 20.9 | 24.2 |
| PA / GAME | 36.2 | 34.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | -25.9 | -15.2 |
| SOS | +15.9 | +13.2 |
| POWER | -20.4 | -10.6 |
CAMERON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Cameron finished the job, as Excelsior Springs and Cameron finished 21-34. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 27-31 final.
The actual margin was 13 points versus MOFO's 4.7-point projection. That produced a 8.3-point margin error, with score errors of 5.5 for Excelsior Springs and 2.8 for Cameron.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CAMERON
MOFO leans toward Cameron because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 9.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.7-point margin, with Cameron carrying a 65% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Cameron enters at 24.2 points per game compared with 20.9 for Excelsior Springs. Cameron also allows 2.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +13.2 for Cameron and +15.9 for Excelsior Springs. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Cameron owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Excelsior Springs has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 9.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.